The Alliance for Romanians’ Union (AUR) party holds the top position in voter preferences, followed by the Social Democratic Party (PSD), the National Liberal Party (PNL) and the Save Romania Union (USR), according to a poll INSCOP Research published on Monday.

The survey was conducted between 6-10 October by INSCOP Research, commissioned by the news platform Informat.ro, in partnership with the Strategic Thinking Group think tank.

Data was collected using the CATI method (Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviewing). The sample size was 1,100 respondents, stratified and representative of Romania’s non-institutionalised adult population (aged 18 and over), across significant socio-demographic categories (gender, age, occupation). The maximum margin of error is ą2.95%, with a 95% confidence level.

Voting intentions if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday:

AUR: 40.0% (compared to 40.8% in September, 40.5% in June, and 38.1% in May)

PSD: 17.6% (vs. 17.9% in September, 13.7% in June, 17.4% in May)

PNL: 14.8% (vs. 15.2% in September, 17.3% in June, 16.0% in May)

USR: 11.5% (vs. 12.8% in September, 13.1% in June, 12.2% in May)

Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania – UDMR: 5.2% (vs. 4.0% in September, 5.2% in June, 4.5% in May)

Health, Education, Nature, Sustainability Party – SENS: 3.4% (vs. 2.1% in September, 2.4% in June, 3.3% in May)

Young People’s Party – POT: 2.6% (vs. 3.3% in September, 4.2% in June, 3.2% in May)

S.O.S. Romania: 2.0% (vs. 2.8% in September, 1.9% in June, 2.5% in May)

Independents: 1.3% (vs. 0.6% in September, 1.4% in June, 1.5% in May)

Other parties: 1.6% (vs. 0.6% in September, 0.5% in June, 1.3% in May)

According to the survey, 72.7% of respondents said they would definitely vote if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, while 13.2% said they would definitely not vote.

‘Autumn seems to bring a stabilisation of voting intentions. The parties currently in power collectively score around 50%, while the parliamentary opposition reaches around 45%. AUR appears to be consolidating its lead with 40%, while no other party manages to surpass the 20% threshold. PSD ranks second, followed by PNL, USR and UDMR. POT and S.O.S. Romania remain below the 5% threshold, at a level relatively close to that of SENS,’ said INSCOP Research Director Remus Stefureac. AGERPRES