Romanian managers estimate, for the period April – June 2025, a moderate increase in economic activity in manufacturing, retail trade and services, as well as an increase in prices in all areas of the economy, according to data published on Monday by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).

In the April 2025 conjoint analysis, managers in the manufacturing industry forecast a moderate increase in the volume of production for the next three months (balance of opinion +12%). As for the number of employees, relative stability is estimated, the balance of opinion being -5%. Industrial product prices are forecast to increase over the next three months (balance of opinion +23%).

According to the April 2025 estimates, the construction activity will record an increase in the volume of production for the next three months (balance of opinion +26%). Managers estimate a moderate increase in the number of employees (balance of opinion +9%). As for the prices of construction works, they are expected to increase (balance of opinion +36%).

In the retail trade sector, managers have estimated a moderate upward trend in economic activity for the next three months (balance of opinion +13%). The volume of orders placed by commercial units with suppliers of goods will increase (balance of opinion +20%). Employers forecast a moderate increase in the number of employees for the next three months (balance of opinion +8%). Managers of commercial companies estimate an increase in retail prices (balance of opinion +36%).

According to the April 2025 estimates, the demand for services (turnover) will grow moderately over the next three months (balance of opinion +8%). Managers in the services sector expect the number of employees to remain relatively stable (balance of opinion +1%). According to the managers’ opinion, the selling or invoicing prices of services will be on a rising trend (balance of opinion +18%).

INS states that the balance of opinion indicates the perception of business managers on the dynamics of a phenomenon that should not be confused with the growth or decline rate of any statistical indicator produced by INS. The percentage of the balance of opinion is obtained as the difference between the percentage of managers who chose the positive variant of the phenomenon and the percentage of those who indicated the negative variant.

AGERPRES